Easily Estimate Projects and Products

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William Davis

2:50:25

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01.Course Overview

0101.Course Overview.mp4

01:39

02.Why Do You Estimate Anything

0201.Course Introduction.mp4

01:48

0202.Start with Why.mp4

02:10

0203.Definition of an Estimate.mp4

02:35

0204.Two Reasons Why You Estimate Anything.mp4

02:30

0205.ROI and the Value Proposition.mp4

04:17

0206.Estimate Today for a Better Tomorrow.mp4

03:10

03.Predicting vs. Forecasting (And Why Forecasting Is Better)

0301.Predictions and Forecasts.mp4

04:58

0302.Weather Predictions.mp4

05:49

0303.AACE Intl Class Estimates.mp4

02:51

0304.Weather Forecasts.mp4

06:45

0305.How Many Weather Apps Do You Have.mp4

03:16

0306.Forecasting Is Superior to Predicting.mp4

02:33

04.Introducing Statistical PERT Normal Edition

0401.The Normal Distribution and Monte Carlo Simulation.mp4

07:18

0402.The Normal Distribution and Statistical PERT.mp4

02:22

0403.Bell-shaped Curves Are All around Us.mp4

01:36

0404.NORM.DIST and NORM.INV.mp4

03:30

0405.Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT).mp4

02:06

0406.PERT Formula for Estimating the Mean.mp4

01:54

0407.Four Reasons Why Estimating Is Hard.mp4

04:39

0408.Estimating with Statistical PERT 5 Steps.mp4

03:15

0409.Module Summary.mp4

03:02

05.Using Statistical PERT

0501.Downloading a Statistical PERT Template.mp4

02:20

0502.All Models Are Wrong (But Some Are Useful).mp4

03:13

0503.How Many Pennies Are in This Penny Jar Part 1.mp4

08:36

0504.How Many Pennies Are in This Penny Jar Part 2.mp4

06:15

0505.Using the SPERT Normal Charts Tab.mp4

03:07

0506.Using the SPERT Normal (3-Point Entry) Tab.mp4

03:29

0507.Create a Portfolio Budget.mp4

03:16

0508.Make an Agile Delivery Forecast.mp4

07:35

0509.Module Summary.mp4

01:35

06.Understanding a Statistical PERT Template

0601.The Problem That Statistical PERT Solves.mp4

03:52

0602.The SPERT Standard Deviation Formula.mp4

02:47

0603.Estimating a Trip to the Fort Lauderdale Airport.mp4

04:23

0604.Estimating a Trip to the Los Angeles Airport.mp4

04:41

0605.SPERT Ratio Scale Modifiers.mp4

01:52

0606.Wheel of Fortune.mp4

04:45

0607.Gumball Machine.mp4

05:24

0608.Comparing Bell-shaped Curves.mp4

05:44

0609.Module Summary.mp4

02:20

07.Modifying a Statistical PERT Template

0701.Introduction.mp4

03:42

0702.Modifying Heuristic Values.mp4

03:55

0703.Modifying Subjective Judgment Terms Part 1.mp4

03:08

0704.Using the Ratio Scale Modeler.mp4

07:05

0705.Modifying Subjective Judgment Terms Part 2.mp4

02:01

0706.Module Summary.mp4

01:17

Exercise Files

estimate-projects-products.zip

Description

Estimating and forecasting don’t have to be time-consuming or difficult. This course will teach you how to use Microsoft Excel and a freely licensed estimation technique called Statistical PERT to easily estimate your projects and products.

What You'll Learn?

Have you ever had a difficult time creating a project schedule or budget or been unsure how to forecast when new features will be ready for your agile-developed product? If so, this is the perfect course for you. In this course, Easily Estimate Projects and Products, you will learn how to easily create estimates for any uncertainty that has common, bell-shaped risk characteristics, like how much a project will cost or how long it will take to develop features on your product backlog. First, you’ll learn the difference between estimates, predictions, and forecasts and why forecasts are superior to predictions. Next, you'll explore how to easily create probabilistic estimates using Statistical PERT. Finally, you’ll discover how Statistical PERT models your project and product uncertainties using the normal probability distribution curve. When you’re finished with this course, you'll not only know how to use Statistical PERT to confidently estimate your project and product uncertainties, but you'll know how to modify Statistical PERT to create even better forecasts in the future. Software required: Microsoft Excel 2010 or later.

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Project Management

William Davis

Instructor's Courses

William W. Davis works in the IT industry promoting personal and organizational agility and sharing innovative tools/techniques with fellow agilists, project managers, developers, functional managers, and organizational leaders. William has 30 years experience working in IT as a software developer and technical project manager for numerous IT projects. More recently, though, William is a Scrum Master and an organizational agilist -- creating/delivering customized agile/Scrum training, offering agile coaching, and mentoring others on their agile journey.

Pluralsight

View courses Pluralsight

Pluralsight, LLC is an American privately held online education company that offers a variety of video training courses for software developers, IT administrators, and creative professionals through its website. Founded in 2004 by Aaron Skonnard, Keith Brown, Fritz Onion, and Bill Williams, the company has its headquarters in Farmington, Utah. As of July 2018, it uses more than 1,400 subject-matter experts as authors, and offers more than 7,000 courses in its catalog. Since first moving its courses online in 2007, the company has expanded, developing a full enterprise platform, and adding skills assessment modules.